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August 19, 2026

The Charts Lose to the Cheerleaders

The best-informed person in the room loses to the one who gets looked at. That isn't a defect in other people. It's how attention works, and treating it as an injustice is what keeps good arguments from ever being heard.

A Table and a Room

Years ago Arlington, Texas was working out whether to build a stadium for the Dallas Cowboys, and I ended up at a community college campus where the case was being made.

On one side of the room there was a table with printed reports, charts, projections. Behind it sat men who looked exactly like men who sit behind tables with projections on them. As far as I could tell they were right about everything. They were nothing if not informative.

On the other side of the same room were the Dallas Cowboys cheerleaders.

You already know where the attention went.

I've thought about that room for twenty years, because it isn't a story about a stadium. It's the cleanest picture I have of something that decides outcomes constantly and almost never gets planned for.

This Is Not a Complaint

The reflex among people who are good with information is to treat this as a defect in everyone else. The public is irrational, buyers are irrational, nobody does their homework.

That reading is comfortable and it costs you the ability to do anything about it.

Attention is finite and it gets allocated before analysis begins. Whatever is vivid, whatever is in front of you, whatever makes you feel something, gets processed first, and the things that never got attention never got evaluated at all. They didn't lose the argument. They never entered it.

So the guys with the charts weren't beaten on the merits. They were never assessed on the merits, and their material was better.

Where It Shows Up

The best product in a market routinely loses to the one with better marketing, and everyone in that market knows it, and it keeps happening. Not because buyers are fools. Because a product nobody looked at closely doesn't get credit for being good.

Politicians get elected on an ability to generate support that survives no contact with their record, while the person who knows what they're doing gets ignored. That has nothing to do with party and not much to do with any one country. It's the same allocation problem.

And in business, the version I've watched most closely: a customer will go back to the salesperson who oversold them rather than the person who spent six months cleaning it up. Something got built during that sale that never got built afterwards.

What the Charismatic Person Is Actually Doing

Here's the part worth taking seriously rather than resenting.

It isn't only presentation. Somebody good at this makes another person feel understood, quickly, and being understood is rare enough that it registers as significant. They ask about your situation rather than describing theirs. They connect what they're saying to something you already care about instead of to something they already care about.

Call it a strong charm rather than a strong arm. It's a real competence, it can be learned, and dismissing it as manipulation is the move that guarantees you never learn it.

It also isn't automatically dishonest. A salesperson doing this across ten prospects at once is having something close to a real conversation with each one. The customer's sense that the relationship is specific to them isn't entirely wrong. It's just not exclusive.

The Move Is Not to Become a Cheerleader

The bad conclusion is that substance doesn't matter, so stop bothering. That's how you get people who are compelling about nothing, and there is already a surplus.

The better conclusion is that being right is a qualifying condition rather than a winning one.

Being right gets you into the set of options that would work. It does nothing to get you looked at, and getting looked at is a separate job with its own skills, which people who are good at analysis tend to regard as beneath them and therefore never develop.

Three things I'd actually do with this.

Lead with what the other person feels, not with what you know. The charts weren't wrong, they were answering a question nobody in the room was currently asking. Find the question they're actually holding and start there.

Make one thing vivid instead of six things complete. Completeness is a defensive instinct. It protects you from being wrong and it costs you the attention required to be heard. Pick the one that matters and let it be memorable.

Build the relationship on purpose, early, before you need it. This is the one that transfers directly. The reason the salesperson gets the phone call later is that they did this work at the start, deliberately, while everybody else was waiting to be judged on their output. Output gets judged after somebody decides to look.

The Uncomfortable Symmetry

I should say plainly that I'm not neutral here, and I'm on both sides of it.

I'm reasonable in a room and better once somebody is already listening. I'm not especially good at the part that gets people to listen in the first place, which is one honest reason I've spent my career on what happens after the sale rather than on making it. That's a real limitation and it shaped what I do.

It's also why I'd rather understand this than complain about it. The people who are good at attracting attention are doing something difficult that I am not good at. The people with the charts are doing something difficult that is being wasted.

Neither group is going to fix the other. But the second group can learn enough of the first group's work to get looked at, and that's a much smaller ask than becoming a different person.

I write about how revenue actually behaves, not how it gets reported